Tuesday, May 12, 2020

Gini Coefficient, Gandhian economics and democracy


Sharing an essay I had written in 2008 as part of my paper titled 'India, democracy and communism'

Income and democracy
Renowned sociologist and political scientist Seymour Martin Lipset[1] propounded the ‘modernization theory’ that essentially says ‘that higher income per capita causes a country to be democratic’.

Lipset opined “The more well-to-do a nation, the greater the chances that it will sustain democracy.” In other words, higher income causes a country to be more democratic. Other existing studies too establish a strong statistical correlation between income and democracy[2]. According to Robert Barro, “Increases in various measures of the standard of living forecast a gradual rise in democracy. In contrast, democracies that arise without prior economic development … tend not to last.”[3]

Conventional wisdom maintained that income per capita has a causal effect on democracy. Studies[4] by Daron Acemoglu et al effectively showed that earlier studies including the modernization theory did not consider factors that affect both income and democracy. Later studies showed that controlling for such factors by including country fixed effects removes the statistical association between income per capita and various measures of democracy. While new efforts have disproved the causal effect or suggested reverse causality – democracy causes income – they have reiterated the strong positive correlation between income and democracy.

Poverty, inequality and democracy
Poverty unfortunately has more definitions, causes and consequences than solutions. There have been authoritative, analytical, thought-provoking and thoughtful literature and work done in the area of poverty alleviation. For this paper, we shall restrict our study to correlation between poverty and choice of political system. Specifically, we shall investigate whether democracy is the right choice for a poor country; whether communism provides a better environment for reducing inequality.

Poverty is a multi-dimensional phenomenon and has to be studied through several indicators:
  • Levels of income
  • Inequality in income and consumption
  • Social indicators
  • Indicators of vulnerability to risks and of socio/political access
For the purpose of global aggregation and comparison, the World Bank uses reference lines set at $1.25 and $2 per day (2005 Purchasing Power Parity terms). According to a World Bank report[5], the number of poor Indians for various poverty lines is as follows:

$1.00
$1.25
$2.00
$2.50
266.5 (24.3%)
455.8 (41.6%)
827.7 (75.6%)
938.0 (85.7%)

At this stage, mention must be made of the Gini[6] coefficient[7]: the most commonly used measure of inequality (of wealth distribution; of income distribution). The Gini coefficient (sometimes Gini index) is used by the UNDP, World Bank, Transparency International, Freedom House and other organizations and bodies to measure and track several economic indicators.

The coefficient varies between 0, which reflects complete equality and 1, which indicates complete inequality (one person has all the income or consumption, all others have none). The coefficient has a negative correlation with per-capita GDP. Poor countries generally have higher Gini indices (spread between 40 and 65), while richer countries have indices below 40. Figure 2.1 shows the 2017 Gini coefficients for all nations.



Figure 2.1: Gini Coefficients – UN World Human Development Report, 2007-2008

In fact, recent studies have only reinforced the positive correlation between economic development and democracy:
  1. “…These results raise the question of why there is a positive cross-country correlation between income and democracy today. We provided evidence that this is likely to be because the political and economic development paths are interwoven.” – Income and Democracy – Acemoglu et al
  2. In ‘The Growth Effect of Democracy: Is It Heterogenous and How Can It Be Estimated?’ Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini have showed that democracy has an effect on economic growth.
So, was it a right decision to opt for democracy when it was not economically unsustainable? And therefore will it last in the future? A few answers could possibly be found in Mahatma Gandhi’s thoughts on socialism and economic development.

Gandhian economics and Marxism
It is irrelevant and futile to speculate on what the consequences would be if India had adopted and implemented Mahtama Gandhi’s economic ideas. However it would not be futile now to study how revisiting some of Gandhi’s principles would impact socio-economical development in India. A study and commentary on the complete works of Gandhi will be pointless for the objective of this paper. However a few selected (but by no means selective) aspects[8] of Gandhian economics is presented here.

First, the concept of ‘village economy was the distinguishing, almost central to the Gandhian socio-economic philosophy. Gandhi’s choice of a political system was inseparable from, and deeply based on, socio-economic situation of the under-privileged. In this, Gandhian thoughts resemble Marxism. Gandhi’s vision for village India seems to be a blend of direct democracy – of which referendums are a major element – and socialist democracy. Gandhi highlighted the significance of the village economy in Harijan:

‘… I would say that if the village perishes India would perish too.  It will no more be India. Her mission in the world will get lost.  The revival of the village is possible only when it is no more exploited.  Industrialization on a mass scale will necessarily lead to passive or active exploitation of the villagers, as the problems of competition and marketing come in.  Therefore, we have to concentrate on the village being self-contained, manufacturing mainly for use.  Provided this character of the village industry is maintained, there would be no objection to villages using even modern machines and tools that they can make and can afford to use.  Only they should not be used as a means of exploitation of others’ – Harijan, 1936.

Second, Mahatma Gandhi pioneered the ‘ashram’ settlement in South Africa and established several of them in India. In spirit, intent and role the ashram has been compared with the ‘commune’: a self-sustaining, self-dependent, self-sufficient place where the inhabitants would produce and consume their basic needs and subordinate themselves to the larger interest of the society. All tasks were shared and executed equally by all inhabitants without any discrimination.

Third, Gandhi espoused the notion of ‘trusteeship’, which centred on denying material pursuits and coveting of wealth, with practitioners acting as ‘trustees’ of other individuals and the community in their management of economic resources and property. Contrary to many Indian socialists and communists, Gandhi was averse to all notions of class warfare and concepts of class-based revolution, which he saw as causes of social violence and disharmony. Gandhi claimed to be a socialist himself and his concept of trusteeship sought to destroy capitalism and not the capitalist thorough a non-violent means.  In Young India he declared:

‘By the non-violent method we seek not to destroy the capitalist, we seek to destroy capitalism.  We invite the capitalist to regard himself as a trustee for those on whom he depends for the making, the retention and the increase of his capital. …Immediately the worker realizes his strength, he is in a position to become a co-sharer of the capitalist instead of remaining his slave.  If he aims at becoming the sole owner, he will most likely be killing the goose that lays the golden eggs.’ – Young India, 1931

Today, Gandhian thought is more relevant than ever because of the havoc that globalisation has wreaked across economies – not as much as in capitalist greed driven economic recession, which by its cyclical nature would be temporary in its life – but through marginalisation and socio-economic isolation of local natives.

The Gandhian ideal of rural democracy and economic self-reliance, going under the name ‘Sarvodaya’, is fundamentally opposed to the contemporary dynamics of globalisation that is based on neo-liberal ideology.  Gandhi described it as follows:

‘… Every village will be a republic or panchayat having full powers. It follows, therefore, that every village has to be self-sustained and capable of managing its affairs even to the extent of defending itself against the whole.   This does not exclude dependence on and willing help from neighbours or from the world… In this, there is no room for machines that would displace human labor and concentrate power in a few hands. Labor has its unique place in a cultural human family. Every machine that helps every individual has a place’ – Kunal Roy Chowdhuri, 1993

Theft, which finds mentions repeatedly in Gandhi’s writings, refers to greed and all its manifestations like overproduction and consumerism. Both these are characteristic of an accumulative capitalist society. Gandhi echoes the thoughts of Marx and Engels when he says:

It is theft for me to take any fruit that I do not need, or to take it in a larger quantity than is necessary.[9]

The similarity in the philosophies of Marx and Gandhi is also evident in Gandhi’s views on labour, which as a ‘working class is continuously oppressed by a small ruling class’[10]

Gandhi’s concept of trusteeship reflects his efforts at spiritualising economics and his principles are rooted in human dignity. And it is here that we see differences in Gandhian socialism and Marxist socialism:

  • Although the care for the working class was equally genuine in both, Gandhian socialism draws inspiration from Indian spirituality while Marxism was born from the sweat and blood of the industrial capitalism.
  • While the need for affirmative action was equally emphasised by both, Gandhian socialism is based on trust in the good sense of the zamindar, while Marx believed in force.
And it is in these differences that we notice not only the similarity of objectives in Gandhism and Marxism but also the applicability of their philosophies to India.



[1] Some Social Requisites of Democracy: Economic Development and Political Legitimacy – Seymour Martin Lipset – The American Political Science Review
[2]
a.        Huntington, Samuel P. – The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century;
b.       Rueschemeyer Dietrich, Evelyne Huber Stephens, and John D. Stephens – Capitalist Development and Democracy.
[3] Barro, Robert J. 1999. “Determinants of Democracy.” Journal of Political Economy
[4] Income and Democracy – Acemoglu D., Johnson S., Robinson James A., Yared P. – American Economic Review, 2008
[5] “The Developing World Is Poorer Than We Thought, But No Less Successful in the Fight against Poverty” – Martin Ravallion and Shaohua Chen – Policy Research Working Paper, World Bank
[6] Corrado Gini (1884-1965) – Italian sociologist, demographer and statistician
[7] Expressed as a percentage – Gini Index
[8] Various excerpts from ‘Economics of Third Sector Management in India’ – H.A. Shankaranarayana – 2006
[9] M. K. Gandhi, ‘The quest for simplicity: “My idea of Swaraj”’ in M. Rahmena &V. Bawtree – The Post-Development Reader Zed, 1997
[10] M. K. Gandhi, ‘What is Just?’ in The Collected Works of Mahatma Gandhi, Navajivan Trust, Ahmedabad


Monday, April 6, 2020

On being a vaidika dharmika (hindu to others)


धर्म एव हतो हन्ति धर्मो रक्षति रक्षितः
तस्माद्धर्मो हन्तव्यः मानो धर्मो हतोवाधीत्

Dharma, when destroyed, destroys; Dharma protects when it is protected.

Therefore, Dharma does not destroy, nor Dharma can be destroyed.

Today there is a lot of concern and talk about the danger to Hindu dharma from Islam and Christianity. In the few, but increasingly frequent discussions on this subject that I have been involved in, and wherein I have been forced to think about and express my views (the key word is stand) are on this, I have, by virtue of being put into compartments, learned two things: one, that none of the participants themselves are aware of what hindu (I consider this label to be most inappropriate, inadequate and even insulting to describe this great way of life) dharma is; and two, that I am proud of what I myself am and what my dharma is.

I don't know why Hindus are preoccupied so much with something that is irrelevant and doesn't deserve even a passing glance. There is no danger to my dharma or any other dharma or any ideology other than its own weak immunity. Today the danger (if at all) that Vaidika dharma faces is not from other beliefs. How can one belief be a danger to another belief if the belief has people who respect, understand and practice it? When the body has strong immunity, it has nothing to fear from external attack.

If at all Vaidika dharma (or Hindu dharma as some ignorant people call it) is threatened (and I believe it is not because of Muslims or Christians), and if vaidika dharma has to be protected, then it is by loving it, understanding it and practicing it. Not by hating others.  

The strongest arguments that have been placed on the need to protect hindu dharma has been about the inability of the constitution in preventing conversions; absence of uniform civil code and the double standards that exist in treating hindu and minority places of worship and educational institutions. Yes, these are very valid and relevant points and the Indian constitution can never be secular if these are not rectified.

But this post is about what we as individuals, as practitioners, as followers need to do.

So, without wasting much words I would like to use an analogy that a simple person like me is capable of putting forth:

If as a marketer I am seeing my customers lapsing to a competing brand, I will introspect and try to understand why they left and not try and hate the other brand. I will try to make my brand relevant and strong. If you truly love & respect your wife/ husband, s/he will never leave you just because a richer, more attractive third person woos her/him AND the constitution allows this wooing to take place.

All this talk about Hindutva, Hinduism, Hinduness etc is basically hatred for other beliefs. Aggression is the clearest indication of insecurity. I see a similarity in a particular type of definition. I think it is called 'negative definition’: I.e. defining something by describing what it is NOT. Nowadays Hindus are becoming 'people who are not Muslims, Christians, etc'.

I am noticing that today people are Hindus not because they respect, understand and practice their dharma. But they are Hindus by being haters of other beliefs. And I believe that this might be true of other faiths too.

I would like to conclude this short note with an excerpt on from my letter to my children where I had expressed my views on who is a hindu.

Dear children,
You both will face a question about Sanatana Dharma (from others or from within yourself) at least once in your lives. By the way, Sanatana Dharma (ancient way of living) is the correct term. ‘Hindu’, ‘Hinduism’ and ‘Hindustan’, ‘India’, ‘Indus’ are geographically-descriptive words used by western foreigners and visitors to describe the ancient Indian people. All people living near and east of Sindhu were called Hindus by the foreigners.
Coming back to the topic, ‘Who is a Hindu?’, ‘What is Hinduism?’, ‘How to be a Hindu?’ are the various questions for which you will want an answer. I did too and this is what I have understood.

How to be a Hindu?
1. Be born and therefore...

2. You accept that you are part of nature and not its master and therefore...

3. You see divinity in everything (including non-living) and therefore...

4. You believe in peaceful co-existence harmony and therefore...

5. You may disagree with, but are respectful and tolerant of others and therefore...

6. You celebrate differences and the role played by each and therefore...

7. You focus your attention on YOUR duty, YOUR role and doing it with honesty and excellence

Basically, Dharma means way of living and duty. Good dharma is to live life by being truthful, honest, active, clean, non-violent and peaceful. Dharma DOESN’T mean ONLY religious practices and actions like praying, visiting temples, celebrating festivals and chanting hymns. Of course one can make righteous living and duty as one’s religion. As Basavanna said ‘kaayakave kailasa’ (work is worship).



Friday, February 14, 2020

An open letter to all political parties

What you are about to read was originally written by me on WhatsApp on 07/01/2020 and shared with my contacts. As the post received overwhelming support, I decided to publish this on my blog.  Also note: As a few people missed the point I made in my original message, on 08/01/2020 I composed and shared an explanatory note which is also posted after the main post. On 12/01/2020 there was an informal discussion in my neighborhood about what I had written. When I got the chance to speak, I recorded my thoughts, which also I have shared here.

To BJP, Congress, these people, those people, people who support those people, people who support these people

Once upon a time, there was a time when ‘we’ meant ‘all’. Beware Congress! By ‘once upon a time’ I don’t mean ‘before BJP came to power’. Beware BJP! I also don’t mean to refer to the time before Islam entered India.

Damn! Just see what you have done! Today, because of you we have to think so much before saying anything, we have to measure the political correctness of every word, every phrase. Why? We even have to think about our facial features and looks. The very fact that we have to be politically correct is what is very incorrect about your politics.

Beware Leftists! Before you start crying intolerance, let me tell you that you too are intolerant about those who don’t tolerate you. Beware Rightists! This doesn’t mean I am one of you.

Who am I?
I am one who doesn’t want to take sides. I am one who does his Sandhyavandane every day, but his evenings are incomplete without Ghulam Ali’s ghazals. I am one who wants his son to bat like Sehwag and bowl like Wasim Akram. I am one who sees the essence of ‘aham brahmasmi’ in these lines of Akbar Allahabadi: ‘…har zarra chamakta hai anwaar-e-ilahi se, har saans yeh kehti hai hum hai toh khuda bhi hai…’

I believe by now the left and right sides of your brain are sending messages like ‘Error!’, ‘Invalid Input!’, ‘Abort!’ to each other.

I am one who flirts with women, but respects them. But that doesn’t mean I carry a placard that says ‘Respect Women’. Men deserve respect too. In fact, I don’t respect ‘elders’ or ‘leaders’. In fact I am one who respects ONLY THOSE people who deserve respect: people who speak the truth, people who are punctual, people who are disciplined, people who don’t do shoddy work, people who are not corrupt. Yeah! Go figure that one out! See, this is why I don’t respect YOU.

I am one who likes Bhagat Singh, but doesn’t hate Gandhi. I like Nehru’s ‘temples of modern India’ phrase, but I love visiting temples and churches. Just makes me feel good. That doesn’t mean I want THE temple. Nor does it mean I don’t want it. It doesn’t matter to me. I am a Smartha Brahmin, but my god is Spinoza’s god. Yet, I don’t ‘pray’. My only prayer is that I make myself so responsible and healthy and skilful, that I don’t need to ‘pray’ before any god again. Are you with me?

I am one who knows double-meaning jokes on Shiva, Ram, Mohammed and Jesus. There was a time when we would share these jokes in a group that had Ganesh, Hanuman, Ali and Paul. I am one who knows the finest Sardarji and Mallu jokes picked up from Bhalla and Siju. That was a time when cracking a joke on a god NEVER meant disrespect to the god or his devotee. A joke was a joke. YOU do realize that this is not a joke anymore, don’t you?

So, what am I?
Today there are three types of people in this country: The first category are those who think that BJP can do nothing right. Then there are those who think BJP can do nothing wrong. I belong to the third category: those who think. And I am not alone. So, how large is my group? Well, I guess less than 1% of the population. Once upon a time… 99% of the population was like me. But look what all of YOU have done! YOU have forced people to take sides. Split wide open!

Today it is impossible for a person like me to think, speak, write and express. Beware Activists and Artistes! I am not talking about ‘your’ definition or version of freedom of expression and intolerance. I don’t have a version or viewpoint. In fact I never had just one viewpoint. I don’t want to have a viewpoint. I don’t want to take sides.

I am one who wants to think, speak, write, express, do. Period. 
I don’t want to take sides like right or left or centre. I want to think right, left, centre, up, down, front, back, everywhere, nowhere.
In fact I want the freedom to NOT think, speak, write, express, do.
I want to be flexible in my beliefs, but steadfast in just one thing – morals.

And I am alone! And I am a bit scared, but I am very, very worried.

Make no mistake… today activists and artistes say that right-wing fundamentalism and communalism is threatening them. Right-wing supporters say that the nation has to be saved from the clutches of leftist, pseudo-secularist ideology. This ism says that the other ism is a threat. The other ism says that this ism is dangerous. The stark naked truth is this – both sides have support, both sides are empowered, both sides are strong.

It is that 1% of the population like me who really are facing intolerance, persecution, threats and insecurity. When I watch a cricket match between India and Australia, I don’t want to take sides. I want to enjoy cricket. If at all I want to take sides, then I want to take sides with fair-play, sportsmanship and decency. Are YOU all getting this?

Today, none of the ‘sides’ are threatened or in danger of being destroyed. It is people like me who don’t want to take sides who are under clear and present danger. 

There is a song by Kishore Kumar in Gulzar’s movie Khushboo: ‘oh maajhi rey… apna kinaara… nadiya ki dhaara hai…’ These lines perfectly summarize my situation. The banks (किनारा) of a river are supposed to be stable and supportive compared to the flow (धारा). But the fact is that the banks never meet (agree). So what does a person do when both banks are dear to him? He makes the flow as his किनारा. In other words he derives stability by choosing the middle path and going with the flow. There is a word for such people – तटस्थ, which could mean neutral or indifferent. Make no mistake. Indifferent people are definitely not uninvolved or unpatriotic or undependable or untrustworthy or irresponsible. We just don’t want to take sides. How difficult is it for you to get this?

Today the worst sufferers of intolerance are neither on this side nor on that side. Today the biggest victims of intolerance are those like me who are on neither side. Today the atrocity of intolerance is being committed on the last remaining neutral 1% - forcing us, arm-twisting us, blackmailing us to take sides. I choose the middle path. Not because I don’t care. But especially because I care.

I care for my family, I care for my clients, I care for my fields, I care for my patients, I care for my students, I care for my customers, I care for my country’s law and order, I care for my nation’s sovereignty.

Who am I?
I am the parent, I am the daily wage labourer, I am the teacher, I am the salesman, I am the engineer, I am the farmer, I am the nurse, I am the shopkeeper, I am the security guard, I am the tailor, I am the carpenter, the plumber, the electrician, the driver, the soldier. I am a human being. I am the citizen of India. Individually I am less than 1%, but actually I am everyone. Almost.

I don’t care whether Gandhi was a desh-bhakt or Godse was a desh-bhakt. For me the true desh-bhakts are the 1% like me – the farmer who toils in the fields, the nurse who tends to my wounds, the teacher who imparts knowledge, the soldier who protects. If at all there are desh-drohis in my opinion, then for me it is those who waste tax-payers money and time on debating whether Gandhi or Godse was a desh-bhakt. Gandhi gave YOU political freedom. But what about OUR freedom? Where is the freedom from child-abuse? Where is the freedom from bad roads? Where is the freedom from power cuts? Where is the freedom from pollution? For the past 70 years, every year 3 months of water shortage and drought is followed by 3 months of floods. Where is the freedom from this lack of commitment to do something about this? In the past 40 years, while the price of every item from grocery to furniture to clothes to stationery to building materials… even petrol or gold has normally risen between 15 to 40 times… there is one item whose price has risen by 300 times. And that is school education. Why? No wonder there is a politician of some kind in the board of directors or management council of nearly EVERY school. Where is the freedom from YOU?

Don’t mistake me… I am neither for, nor against demonetisation, GST, CAA, CAB, NRC, ABC, PQR, XYZ… I don’t understand all this. I trust you and some of the learned people amongst you to think about all of this. Because you are administrators. I voted you – both the proposers and evaluators. Pardon me, I don’t like to use the word ruling party and opposition party because the word ‘ruling’ has a tinge of arrogance and the word ‘opposition’ has a tinge of non-cooperation associated with them. Change the way you describe yourselves. Call yourselves proposing party and evaluating parties. Together you are executives, administrators, implementers. 

There is a saying in Kannada which says 'in the fight between the mother and father, the child starved'

So.. Stop this ‘side’-way nonsense! Right now! We don’t want to be on the side of BJP or on the side of Congress; not on the side of this ism or that ism; neither here nor there. For once, can we all be on the side of this 1% whose money ensures you have a home to live and food on your table? 

By the way, I know one thing for sure. My letter would have done the impossible – unite you with anger against me. At least, if and when your supporters bash me, I will be happy to know that for once, they shunned their differences. 

Dear BJP, Congress, these people, those people, people who support those people, people who support these people
My name is Krishna Jambur and I am the one who belongs to the group which by now should be slightly larger than 1%... 1.01%...1.02%... and growing. Leave your banks… come join us… jump into the river… life is much more meaningful this way. We shall rest on both banks... today here... tomorrow there... after all, the river WILL reach the sea. With or without banks.


The explanatory WhatsApp message that I forwarded on 08/01/2020


Hi,
Yesterday I sent you a message. I hope you've read it (sorry for the length). 
What do you think I was trying to say?

The point I was trying to make is that I am sick and tired of the politicians from EVERY party trying to tell me how I should be. 

I don't want ANY political party to tell me how to be a good Hindu, Muslim, Christian and so on. 

My message was a scream of anguish against the politicians to leave me alone
I have my business to mind. I have enough on my mind - to take care of my family, my children, my parents, my finances, my job, my health...

The last thing I need is for the politicians of ANY party to treat me like a robot and program me.


My message was a clear message to EVERY Indian citizen to ask EVERY political party to mind their own business - and that is to give us good, clean, efficient, corruption-free governance.


The audio recording on 12/01/2020:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1XDQZxFrjKg6l0aq6Z36Fw_SZl_kb8XB4/view?usp=sharing