Tuesday, May 12, 2020

Gini Coefficient, Gandhian economics and democracy


Sharing an essay I had written in 2008 as part of my paper titled 'India, democracy and communism'

Income and democracy
Renowned sociologist and political scientist Seymour Martin Lipset[1] propounded the ‘modernization theory’ that essentially says ‘that higher income per capita causes a country to be democratic’.

Lipset opined “The more well-to-do a nation, the greater the chances that it will sustain democracy.” In other words, higher income causes a country to be more democratic. Other existing studies too establish a strong statistical correlation between income and democracy[2]. According to Robert Barro, “Increases in various measures of the standard of living forecast a gradual rise in democracy. In contrast, democracies that arise without prior economic development … tend not to last.”[3]

Conventional wisdom maintained that income per capita has a causal effect on democracy. Studies[4] by Daron Acemoglu et al effectively showed that earlier studies including the modernization theory did not consider factors that affect both income and democracy. Later studies showed that controlling for such factors by including country fixed effects removes the statistical association between income per capita and various measures of democracy. While new efforts have disproved the causal effect or suggested reverse causality – democracy causes income – they have reiterated the strong positive correlation between income and democracy.

Poverty, inequality and democracy
Poverty unfortunately has more definitions, causes and consequences than solutions. There have been authoritative, analytical, thought-provoking and thoughtful literature and work done in the area of poverty alleviation. For this paper, we shall restrict our study to correlation between poverty and choice of political system. Specifically, we shall investigate whether democracy is the right choice for a poor country; whether communism provides a better environment for reducing inequality.

Poverty is a multi-dimensional phenomenon and has to be studied through several indicators:
  • Levels of income
  • Inequality in income and consumption
  • Social indicators
  • Indicators of vulnerability to risks and of socio/political access
For the purpose of global aggregation and comparison, the World Bank uses reference lines set at $1.25 and $2 per day (2005 Purchasing Power Parity terms). According to a World Bank report[5], the number of poor Indians for various poverty lines is as follows:

$1.00
$1.25
$2.00
$2.50
266.5 (24.3%)
455.8 (41.6%)
827.7 (75.6%)
938.0 (85.7%)

At this stage, mention must be made of the Gini[6] coefficient[7]: the most commonly used measure of inequality (of wealth distribution; of income distribution). The Gini coefficient (sometimes Gini index) is used by the UNDP, World Bank, Transparency International, Freedom House and other organizations and bodies to measure and track several economic indicators.

The coefficient varies between 0, which reflects complete equality and 1, which indicates complete inequality (one person has all the income or consumption, all others have none). The coefficient has a negative correlation with per-capita GDP. Poor countries generally have higher Gini indices (spread between 40 and 65), while richer countries have indices below 40. Figure 2.1 shows the 2017 Gini coefficients for all nations.



Figure 2.1: Gini Coefficients – UN World Human Development Report, 2007-2008

In fact, recent studies have only reinforced the positive correlation between economic development and democracy:
  1. “…These results raise the question of why there is a positive cross-country correlation between income and democracy today. We provided evidence that this is likely to be because the political and economic development paths are interwoven.” – Income and Democracy – Acemoglu et al
  2. In ‘The Growth Effect of Democracy: Is It Heterogenous and How Can It Be Estimated?’ Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini have showed that democracy has an effect on economic growth.
So, was it a right decision to opt for democracy when it was not economically unsustainable? And therefore will it last in the future? A few answers could possibly be found in Mahatma Gandhi’s thoughts on socialism and economic development.

Gandhian economics and Marxism
It is irrelevant and futile to speculate on what the consequences would be if India had adopted and implemented Mahtama Gandhi’s economic ideas. However it would not be futile now to study how revisiting some of Gandhi’s principles would impact socio-economical development in India. A study and commentary on the complete works of Gandhi will be pointless for the objective of this paper. However a few selected (but by no means selective) aspects[8] of Gandhian economics is presented here.

First, the concept of ‘village economy was the distinguishing, almost central to the Gandhian socio-economic philosophy. Gandhi’s choice of a political system was inseparable from, and deeply based on, socio-economic situation of the under-privileged. In this, Gandhian thoughts resemble Marxism. Gandhi’s vision for village India seems to be a blend of direct democracy – of which referendums are a major element – and socialist democracy. Gandhi highlighted the significance of the village economy in Harijan:

‘… I would say that if the village perishes India would perish too.  It will no more be India. Her mission in the world will get lost.  The revival of the village is possible only when it is no more exploited.  Industrialization on a mass scale will necessarily lead to passive or active exploitation of the villagers, as the problems of competition and marketing come in.  Therefore, we have to concentrate on the village being self-contained, manufacturing mainly for use.  Provided this character of the village industry is maintained, there would be no objection to villages using even modern machines and tools that they can make and can afford to use.  Only they should not be used as a means of exploitation of others’ – Harijan, 1936.

Second, Mahatma Gandhi pioneered the ‘ashram’ settlement in South Africa and established several of them in India. In spirit, intent and role the ashram has been compared with the ‘commune’: a self-sustaining, self-dependent, self-sufficient place where the inhabitants would produce and consume their basic needs and subordinate themselves to the larger interest of the society. All tasks were shared and executed equally by all inhabitants without any discrimination.

Third, Gandhi espoused the notion of ‘trusteeship’, which centred on denying material pursuits and coveting of wealth, with practitioners acting as ‘trustees’ of other individuals and the community in their management of economic resources and property. Contrary to many Indian socialists and communists, Gandhi was averse to all notions of class warfare and concepts of class-based revolution, which he saw as causes of social violence and disharmony. Gandhi claimed to be a socialist himself and his concept of trusteeship sought to destroy capitalism and not the capitalist thorough a non-violent means.  In Young India he declared:

‘By the non-violent method we seek not to destroy the capitalist, we seek to destroy capitalism.  We invite the capitalist to regard himself as a trustee for those on whom he depends for the making, the retention and the increase of his capital. …Immediately the worker realizes his strength, he is in a position to become a co-sharer of the capitalist instead of remaining his slave.  If he aims at becoming the sole owner, he will most likely be killing the goose that lays the golden eggs.’ – Young India, 1931

Today, Gandhian thought is more relevant than ever because of the havoc that globalisation has wreaked across economies – not as much as in capitalist greed driven economic recession, which by its cyclical nature would be temporary in its life – but through marginalisation and socio-economic isolation of local natives.

The Gandhian ideal of rural democracy and economic self-reliance, going under the name ‘Sarvodaya’, is fundamentally opposed to the contemporary dynamics of globalisation that is based on neo-liberal ideology.  Gandhi described it as follows:

‘… Every village will be a republic or panchayat having full powers. It follows, therefore, that every village has to be self-sustained and capable of managing its affairs even to the extent of defending itself against the whole.   This does not exclude dependence on and willing help from neighbours or from the world… In this, there is no room for machines that would displace human labor and concentrate power in a few hands. Labor has its unique place in a cultural human family. Every machine that helps every individual has a place’ – Kunal Roy Chowdhuri, 1993

Theft, which finds mentions repeatedly in Gandhi’s writings, refers to greed and all its manifestations like overproduction and consumerism. Both these are characteristic of an accumulative capitalist society. Gandhi echoes the thoughts of Marx and Engels when he says:

It is theft for me to take any fruit that I do not need, or to take it in a larger quantity than is necessary.[9]

The similarity in the philosophies of Marx and Gandhi is also evident in Gandhi’s views on labour, which as a ‘working class is continuously oppressed by a small ruling class’[10]

Gandhi’s concept of trusteeship reflects his efforts at spiritualising economics and his principles are rooted in human dignity. And it is here that we see differences in Gandhian socialism and Marxist socialism:

  • Although the care for the working class was equally genuine in both, Gandhian socialism draws inspiration from Indian spirituality while Marxism was born from the sweat and blood of the industrial capitalism.
  • While the need for affirmative action was equally emphasised by both, Gandhian socialism is based on trust in the good sense of the zamindar, while Marx believed in force.
And it is in these differences that we notice not only the similarity of objectives in Gandhism and Marxism but also the applicability of their philosophies to India.



[1] Some Social Requisites of Democracy: Economic Development and Political Legitimacy – Seymour Martin Lipset – The American Political Science Review
[2]
a.        Huntington, Samuel P. – The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century;
b.       Rueschemeyer Dietrich, Evelyne Huber Stephens, and John D. Stephens – Capitalist Development and Democracy.
[3] Barro, Robert J. 1999. “Determinants of Democracy.” Journal of Political Economy
[4] Income and Democracy – Acemoglu D., Johnson S., Robinson James A., Yared P. – American Economic Review, 2008
[5] “The Developing World Is Poorer Than We Thought, But No Less Successful in the Fight against Poverty” – Martin Ravallion and Shaohua Chen – Policy Research Working Paper, World Bank
[6] Corrado Gini (1884-1965) – Italian sociologist, demographer and statistician
[7] Expressed as a percentage – Gini Index
[8] Various excerpts from ‘Economics of Third Sector Management in India’ – H.A. Shankaranarayana – 2006
[9] M. K. Gandhi, ‘The quest for simplicity: “My idea of Swaraj”’ in M. Rahmena &V. Bawtree – The Post-Development Reader Zed, 1997
[10] M. K. Gandhi, ‘What is Just?’ in The Collected Works of Mahatma Gandhi, Navajivan Trust, Ahmedabad